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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: September 18th, 2023

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  • Human beings are really bad at understanding statistics. Generally crime is trending down in the long term. Statistically, the world is a much safer place when it comes to interpersonal violence.

    These facts are harder for us to grasp than the flashy, shocking “if it bleeds, it leads” news story. People’s anecdotal knowledge of the world tends to beat out the statistics we read when we shape our perspective of the world. That leads to frequent mismatches between what people believe the world is like and what the world is actually like.

    A prime example of this is the “stranger danger” public awareness campaign in the US. The effort encouraged parents to be wary of strangers that may abduct their child. The problem is that the vast and overwhelming majority of child abductions are perpetrated by family members or by individuals known to the family - not strangers.

    Across the US the “anecdotal” event of being frightened by a stranger danger TV ad had a strong impact on the perceptions of many parents. A lot of those people continued to believe that the greatest risk of kidnapping came from strangers even after the (correct) contradictory statistics became widely publicized. Similarly, these “stop crime” ads can frighten people just a little bit at imagining the scenario they describe. This experience can shape perception in a large and lasting way and make people perceive the problem as being more prevalent than it is.









  • I’ve participated in the unemployment tallying in the US. That’s not how that works.

    The only thing that I can possibly imagine you’re alluding to is discouraged workers, who are people without jobs who stopped looking. They drop off because it’s really hard to hire people who won’t apply for any job, which is important to know about when you’re trying to determine the number of people available to fill job vacancies.


  • Not sure why you got down voted for asking an honest question.

    There was a single influential painting from the 1800’s depicting three Romans doing the gesture. This lodged in the minds of some people in the early 20th century as the way ancient Romans saluted despite the fact that there wasn’t any historical evidence for this, just a painting portraying it.

    The situation was a bit like the whole “people eat X number of spiders in their sleep” thing where an innocent falsehood spread like wildfire and was accepted as fact. The idea that Romans saluted that way is still floating around and would probably be more prevalent if the Nazis hadn’t adopted the gesture.





  • Think of a guilty/not guilty plea as the defense declaring their stance rather than literally saying “I did this” or “I did not do this”. After all there are circumstances in which a person absolutely did the thing they’re accused of but are not actually guilty (self defense) or extenuating circumstances need to be considered (insanity plea).

    Perjury requires that a person lied under oath in a specific, provable way. That’s why defense attorneys will sometimes have their client not take the stand or assert their fifth amendment rights in response to certain questions. Making the prosecution prove that the defendant did a thing is fine. Saying “I didn’t do thing X at all” and then having evidence being presented that you did is no bueno.

    TL;DR: A not guilty plea basically says “prove it”. Perjury is lying about specifics and it can later be proved beyond a reasonable doubt that you lied about those details.