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Cake day: 2023年12月2日

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  • It’s kinda good for humanity to shrink a bit though. We can’t keep expanding as we will eventually run out of space and natural resources. Most western countries aren’t really growing in population anymore either and I think that’s a good thing. We’re already suffering the consequences of too high growth in the past. Not enough housing, resource constraints, pollution.

    Also, why spend your life raising babies if you can enjoy yourself. Yes, for some people that constitutes enjoyment, but not for everyone. Certainly not for me. Let them have at it. Humanity absolutely isn’t going to become extinct, plenty of people will want to have them. Not families of 6-10 anymore but that’s all good. It would actually be amazing if the world population declined a bit and stabilised at say 2 billion. Sustainability is not infinite growth but stability.

    The problem is the inverse demography pyramid, less young people to take care of the old. The boomers have this issue and China will now too. But at least this problem is temporary and the world will be much more sustainable with a lower birth rate. Reducing economic issues, less risk of conflict as resources aren’t quite as scarce per person, less CO2 emitted etc.




  • The same applies to Russia.

    Not really. Russia has a strong orthodox influence. They suppressed it during the soviet times but it is back in full force.

    You can say something similar about ultra conservative Catholics, since the Pope has called for tolerance. Yet, they would rather denounce the Pope than tolerate LGBTQ+.

    That’s a small splinter group though. Most catholics are pretty open. Even Ireland allowed gay marriage now by popular vote.

    The key idea is that bigotry is not driven by religious affiliation, but rather by authoritarian attitudes. That’s what’s common between China, Russia and the ultra conservatives in the US. Tolerance of LGBTQ indicates freedom and liberalism in some sense. And both are challenges to the stakeholders of authoritarianism. They want a world where people live within the framework they dictate - and thus the bigotry.

    Aha that does make sense. The LGBTQ movement is indeed very progressive and liberal. I do think there is often a religous component as well (though that seems to be missing in China) but this sounds like a good explanation.




  • Yes I get it totally. I was there myself and it is indeed a wonderful place to visit. My friend lived there at the time and showed me around. I particularly loved the markets with all the wonderful electronic components. Though I believe most of that has moved to Shenzen these days, I was there two decades ago when Taiwan was a huge manufacturing hub. As far as I know it’s now more of a high-end semiconductor specialist.

    What also suprised me is how Western Taipei felt. If everything weren’t in Chinese it could have been a western city (albeit with a lot more motorscooters :P ). And the whole situation with China doesn’t really seem to be a big ‘thing’ there. They are already deciding their own future and that’s not really up for discussion. This issue seems to be playing more in the global media than on the ground.

    I don’t think a war will happen either. China is way too calculated for that. The CCP thinks in decade-long plans with subtle entanglement and exploitative loans, that’s also their MO in Africa. Not a shooting war.


  • Note: The following is what I heard from a friend who lived there for decades. I have visited Taiwan but I don’t have roots there, as such this is all I have to go on.

    But as far as I’m told the drive for Status Quo is mainly because the Taiwanese people don’t want to pull out the red flag. They’d love to have independence and be recognised as a state but the status quo is good enough (because it de facto offers them independence in all but name) and less likely to lead to a major war. So basically right now they already have what they want and trying to formalise it will only put more pressure on the situation.