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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • Another way of thinking about it is betting your entire bankroll for 99.9…% certainty that you will win $1.

    Say you go into the casino with $1000.

    Bet:

    $1 lose.
    $3 lose.
    $9 lose.
    $27 lose.
    $81 lose.
    $243 lose.
    $729 oh wait you can't bet that much, you only have $457 left. Dang, do you bet $457 or find another $272? 
    
    Bet $457 and you win $914! Congrats you're now only down $86!
    Or maybe you lost and are down $1000.
    
    Or maybe you scrounged up $272 so you could keep playing
    Bet 729 and lose. Now you're down $1272.
    Or
    Bet 729 and you win 1458. Pay back the $272 you borrowed from your buddy, you're still up $186. 
    You just bet $729 dollars for a %50 chance of winning $186.
    

    But what are the chances of getting 6 or 7 losses in a row? 1 in 64, or 128 respectively, actually worse because roulette wheels aren’t 50/50, they’re 18/19 (18 wins and 19 losses in 37 plays on average) or worse. So losing 6 times in a row will happen 1 in 54 plays, 7 losses is 1 in 106.

    Google says roulette wheels spin 55 times per hour so with your strategy you will lose your bank roll in about one hour assuming your starting bet is 0.1% of your bank roll.





  • I’m a feminist and not a Freemason. I wasn’t convinced that Freemasonry is misogynistic simply because it excludes women. Ie: I think there are valid reasons to have some gender separated spaces. My understanding is that Freemasonry is a practice intended to ‘improve’ men (whatever that means to them). I think that’s possibly a valid reason for maintaining a gendered space.

    However; in preparing to write this comment I learned that Masonry’s sister organization (The Order of the Eastern Star), which is open to both men and women, is subordinate to the Masonic lodge. This does strike me as misogynistic.

    I’m open to reading thoughtful comments by Masons or more knowledgeable feminists.