i should be writing

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Joined 11 months ago
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Cake day: August 8th, 2023

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  • If it was an American made Patriot PAC-2, then that shows US support is having yet more material impacts on Russia. If it was an S300 missile spotted by Patriot radars (which we saw something similar recently), its showing Ukraine’s ability to enhance existing Soviet era weapons against Russia augmented by Western systems.

    this is what already happened, once in north when two EW helis and two jets were shot, and once in south when A50 went down. some rumor-grade osint suggests that at least in the second case S300 radar spotted A50 first, relayed position to patriot radar, which illuminated it very briefly, just long enough to get a lock but not long enough for russians to react, and then sent missiles after it








  • In some fundamental way we don’t really know, all you can do is to make a model and then test it as extensively as we can. Then, try to break it and improve it, making it more precise, more general etc. However several things makes that guessing easier

    One thing is cosmological principle, ie assumption that laws of physics are basically the same everywhere. One argument that makes this assuption hold better is Noether’s theorem https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Noether’s_theorem which means that at least some conservation laws are pretty fundamental. We don’t really know if laws of physics were the same in distant past, if they were then maybe there are some other, as of yet not discovered more fundamental laws of physics that hold in both conditions and simplify to what we know today in current conditions