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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: February 17th, 2024

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  • Ok so your prediction won’t be perfect, it’ll be a fraction of a percent off one way or another. It will be a figure that’s statistically irrelevant. Flip a coin a ten thousand you’re not likely to get exactly 5000 heads and 5000 tails. You’ll get a bit over five thousand of one and a bit under five thousand of the other. What your really fucking unlikely to get 10000 heads unless your name is Rosencrantz

    Was Earth hotter than now before? Sure, why else do we find mummified animals and perfectly preserved roads and settlements under the melting ice!

    Except the key point that denialists seem to forget is those changes happened over thousands to tens of thousands of years, not tens of years.

    The rapidity is the issue as much or more than the change itself. The speed means plants and animals can’t migrate to areas that are better suited to them climatically, let alone give time for evolutionary based adaptations.

    Will temperatures rise indefinitely and kill us all? Probably not.

    No it won’t kill us all well recognised.

    But it will and has killed many many people. Heat in the climate is energy, more energy is stronger winds and more violent storms. Changes in temperature is winds not blowing as they have for generations. It’s failed monsoons or rains when you expect and need it to be dry. It’s flash floods. It’s droughts. It’s also countries becoming poorer so people migrate it’s increased racial tensions it’s riots, it’s concentration camps.

    So, yes I agree it won’t kill us all but it’ll kill a fucking lot of us and a lot of the people it does kill will be the most valuable globally.

    Also

    the exact data we have to train those models is from the past 150-200 years.

    The word exact is doing some heavy fucking lifting in that sentence

    We have tens of thousands of years of ice core data and hundreds to thousands of years of tree ring data.












  • Plus, having a bag is fucking revolutionary. I used to empty a cyclone type vac pretty much every time I used it, complete with clouds of dust. Henry every few months I have to take the bag out and pop in a new one. No mess, no fuss. Plus, the bags have filters in them, so no having to clean the filters under the tap (again getting dusty) and wait a couple of days for them to dry.