Well Russia hasn’t managed to destroy Ukraine’s existing manufacturing capacity
they have though
Minister of Strategic Industries Kamyshin claimed a twenty-fold increase in artillery shell production over 2023 a couple of months ago
they can claim whatever they want for propaganda, in the real world we can observe their artillery shortages and failed offensives
despite Ukraine’s lack of a real airforce, has not been able to successfully establish air superiority
you don’t need air superiority to destroy a factory, please put aside the wishful thinking for 5 minutes if you can
troops can retreat, equipment can be relocated somewhere else, a factory is a static building that you CANNOT MOVE, no matter how much air defense you put near it eventually a missile, drone or shell will go through and damage/destroy it
Russia is one of the biggest artillery manufacturers and stockpilers in the entire world and even they’re suffering some shell constraints. There is a lot of space between “literally all the ammunition you could want” and “zero ammunition”, especially in a conflict like this. Both sides are fighting in a way that will eat basically any volume of artillery ammunition that is available. So no, shell constraints do not indicate a totally destroyed domestic industry.
a factory is a static building that you CANNOT MOVE
That’s why you don’t build it near the front line. Ukraine is big. Russian aircraft attacking a factory in Kyiv or even further west would have to spend absolutely ages in extremely hostile airspace.
they have though
they can claim whatever they want for propaganda, in the real world we can observe their artillery shortages and failed offensives
you don’t need air superiority to destroy a factory, please put aside the wishful thinking for 5 minutes if you can
troops can retreat, equipment can be relocated somewhere else, a factory is a static building that you CANNOT MOVE, no matter how much air defense you put near it eventually a missile, drone or shell will go through and damage/destroy it
Russia is one of the biggest artillery manufacturers and stockpilers in the entire world and even they’re suffering some shell constraints. There is a lot of space between “literally all the ammunition you could want” and “zero ammunition”, especially in a conflict like this. Both sides are fighting in a way that will eat basically any volume of artillery ammunition that is available. So no, shell constraints do not indicate a totally destroyed domestic industry.
That’s why you don’t build it near the front line. Ukraine is big. Russian aircraft attacking a factory in Kyiv or even further west would have to spend absolutely ages in extremely hostile airspace.