Gideon George Osborne on his podcast said yesterday that losing both safe seats in by-elections would be ‘armageddon’ for the Conservatives. Some rumours today of the dreaded ‘letters of no confidence’ from the 1922 committee, but I suspect there are no candidates who want to lose a general election. So could we be going for a snap election?
I don’t see a snap election. They know they’re cooked. They’re going to string this out until they’re unable to string it out any longer.
Has a government with a relatively strong majority ever called an election knowing they’ll likely lose?
Sunak is bound for a revolt at the next budget. Truss and co have the knives out and have threatened to block any budget that does not facilitate tax breaks. There are varying degrees that MPs have said they will adhere to that, but it spells trouble for Sunak and Hunt. Most pundits think we are heading for an march election. This way Sunak avoids having to give a budget.
My personal opinion is that Sunak will hang on, come what may, until he gets the pay out from the India deal. The reality is that so many chickens are due to come home to roost that things are only ever set to look worse as time goes by.
But on the flip side, if that was the case nobody would ever call an election as you could always just say theres no goldilocks period. Mandates do expire. If they get rid of Sunak it will be their 4th unelected PM, no manifestos and a trail of destruction.
in the podcast they mention a 5-eyes rule which prevents an election in more than one member state at the same time. If we had november next year it will clash with the US. Id never considered it a thing
Is that rule actually a thing? Because as much as I’m for cooperation between nations I don’t love the idea that our Politics can be delayed because another state is holding an election.
And I’m fairly sure they legally have to call an election once every 5 years right?
